The recurrent problem of green scares that don’t live up to the hype

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

By Matt Ridley (originally in the Wall Street Journal, sent to WUWT by the author)

‘We’ve heard these same stale arguments before,” said President Obama in his speech on climate change last week, referring to those who worry that the Environmental Protection Agency’s carbon-reduction plan may do more harm than good. The trouble is, we’ve heard his stale argument before, too: that we’re doomed if we don’t do what the environmental pressure groups tell us, and saved if we do. And it has frequently turned out to be really bad advice.

Making dire predictions is what environmental groups do for a living, and it’s a competitive market, so they exaggerate. Virtually every environmental threat of the past few decades has been greatly exaggerated. Pesticides were not causing a cancer epidemic, as Rachel Carson claimed in her 1962 book “Silent Spring”; acid rain was not devastating German forests, as the…

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What the sun has to do with it all

The first part is blatantly obvious, no Sun, no life here on Earth.

Even now, science has much to learn about our friendly, life giving killer star.

Here are some of the latest findings that point toward a Maunder Minimum type of cycle in the not too distant future:

Irregular heartbeat of the Sun driven by double dynamo

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Coral atolls able to grow faster than sea level can rise.

Same rules apply to coral atolls anywhere in the world:

Coral islands defy sea-level rise over the past century: Records from a central Pacific atoll

P.S. Kench1, D. Thompson1, M.R. Ford1, H. Ogawa1 and R.F. McLean2

1School of Environment, The University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
2School of Physical, Environmental and Mathematical Sciences, University of New South Wales, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia


The geological stability and existence of low-lying atoll nations is threatened by sea-level rise and climate change. Funafuti Atoll, in the tropical Pacific Ocean, has experienced some of the highest rates of sea-level rise (∼5.1 ± 0.7 mm/yr), totaling ∼0.30 ± 0.04 m over the past 60 yr. We analyzed six time slices of shoreline position over the past 118 yr at 29 islands of Funafuti Atoll to determine their physical response to recent sea-level rise. Despite the magnitude of this rise, no islands have been lost, the majority have enlarged, and there has been a 7.3% increase in net island area over the past century (A.D. 1897–2013). There is no evidence of heightened erosion over the past half-century as sea-level rise accelerated. Reef islands in Funafuti continually adjust their size, shape, and position in response to variations in boundary conditions, including storms, sediment supply, as well as sea level. Results suggest a more optimistic prognosis for the habitability of atoll nations and demonstrate the importance of resolving recent rates and styles of island change to inform adaptation strategies.

Received 22 December 2014.
Revision received 24 March 2015.
Accepted 26 March 2015.

© Geological Society of America

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Editorial: The Great Global Warming Hoax?

Editor’s Introductory Note: Our planet has been slowly warming since last emerging from the “Little Ice Age” of the 17th century, often associated with the Maunder Minimum.  Before that came the “Medieval Warm Period“, in which temperatures were about the same as they are today.  Both of these climate phenomena are known to have occurred in the Northern Hemisphere, but several hundred years prior to the present, the majority of the Southern Hemisphere was primarily populated by indigenous peoples, where science and scientific observation was limited to non-existent.  Thus we can not say that these periods were necessarily “global”.

However, “Global Warming” in recent historical times has been an undisputable fact, and no one can reasonably deny that.

But we’re hearing far too often that the “science” is “settled”, and that it is mankind’s contribution to the natural CO2 in the atmosphere has been the principal cause of an increasing “Greenhouse Effect”, which is the root “cause” of global warming.  We’re also hearing that “all the world’s scientists now agree on this settled science”, and it is now time to quickly and most radically alter our culture, and prevent a looming global catastrophe.  And last, but not least, we’re seeing a sort of mass hysteria sweeping our culture which is really quite disturbing.  Historians ponder how the entire nation of Germany could possibly have goose-stepped into place in such a short time, and we have similar unrest.  Have we become a nation of overnight loonies?

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Global Warming where is the alarm?

A talk by John Christy on Feb 8, 2010 – AU Hotel and Dixon Conference Center.

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Ocean ‘Global Warming’ is not actually ‘global’ at all

NODC Data Continue to Indicate the Deep Oceans are Warming in Some Basins But Not Others

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Composition Of Earth’s Atmosphere

‘You can go outside and spit and have the same effect as doubling carbon dioxide’

Composition Of Earth’s Atmosphere

Gas Volume
Nitrogen (N2) 780,840 ppmv (78.084%)
Oxygen (O2) 209,460 ppmv (20.946%)
Argon (Ar) 9,340 ppmv (0.9340%)
Carbon dioxide (CO2) 383 ppmv (0.0383%)
Neon (Ne) 18.18 ppmv (0.001818%)
Helium (He) 5.24 ppmv (0.000524%)
Methane (CH4) 1.745 ppmv (0.0001745%)
Krypton (Kr) 1.14 ppmv (0.000114%)
Hydrogen (H2) 0.55 ppmv (0.000055%)
Nitrous oxide (N2O) 0.3 ppmv (0.00003%)
Xenon (Xe) 0.09 ppmv (9×10-6%)
Ozone (O3) 0.0 to 0.07 ppmv (0%-7×10-6%)
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) 0.02 ppmv (2×10-6%)
Iodine (I) 0.01 ppmv (1×10-6%)
Carbon monoxide (CO) 0.1 ppmv
Ammonia (NH3) trace
Not included in above dry atmosphere:
Water vapor (H2O) ~0.40% over full atmosphere, typically 1%-4% at surface

“Greenhouse” gases :

Gases in an atmosphere that are believed to absorb and emit radiation within the thermal infrared range. This process is the fundamental cause of the ‘greenhouse effect’. The most common greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is Water Vapour at about 0.4% overall and typically 1%-4% at surface. Less concentrated greenhouse gases include carbon dioxide (0.035%), methane (0.0001745%), nitrous oxide (0.00003%), ozone (0%-7×10-6%), and chlorofluorocarbons.

Looking at the same facts using an analogy:

Imagine 1 kilometre of atmosphere and we want to get rid of the carbon pollution in it definitely created by human activity. Let’s go for a walk along it.

• The first 770 metres are Nitrogen.
• The next 210 metres are Oxygen.
• That’s 980 metres of the 1 kilometre. 20 metres to go.
• The next 10 metres are water vapour. 10 metres left.
• 9 metres are argon. Just 1 more metre.
• A few gases make up the first bit of that last metre.
• The last 38 centimetres of the kilometre – that’s carbon dioxide. A bit over one foot.
• 97% of that CO2 is produced by Mother Nature. It’s natural.
• Out of our journey of one kilometre, there are just 12 millimetres left. Just over a centimetre – about half an inch. That’s the amount of CO2 that global human activity has put into the atmosphere.

This is no conspiracy theory it is basic science. Go grab an encyclopaedia and check for yourself if you don’t believe it. Then look into how much money Governments are going to make from taxing CO2 (billions) and how much Banks are going to make from Carbon Trading (trillions)

There are plenty of real pollution problems to worry about that carbon taxing will not address one iota, irrespective if, despite the absurdity of the politically and financially fuelled argument, it actually causes a “catastrophic” change in the weather.

The preceding post is under review for accuracy

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